2028 R running·closes in 16mo

Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?

YES means Glenn Youngkin

24h volume: 0; 9,697 lifetime
Open interest: 2,738
Spread: 5¢; 14 × 555 at the touch
24h range: –; 33 recent trades

Chance of YES

39%

A YES contract costs 39¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

61%

costs 66¢

YES bid / ask

34¢ / 39¢

NO bid / ask

61¢ / 66¢

Recent buying28% YES · 72% NO

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.

2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.

3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h 7d 30d 90d

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Glenn Youngkin announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources

opened: Mar 22, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes: Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by: Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker: KX2028RRUN-28-GYOU

Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 33 trades, 28% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

When	YES	Contracts	Side
8d ago	38¢	5	bought yes
8d ago	38¢	4.01	bought yes
8d ago	39¢	16	bought yes
9d ago	33¢	23	bought no
9d ago	34¢	11	bought no
17d ago	39¢	2.45	bought yes
19d ago	39¢	27	bought yes
19d ago	38¢	10	bought yes
24d ago	40¢	8.36	bought yes
28d ago	38¢	0.27	bought yes
28d ago	38¢	9.73	bought yes
1mo ago	36¢	0.17	bought no
1mo ago	35¢	20	bought no
1mo ago	34¢	25	bought no
1mo ago	35¢	0.17	bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.