galdor.xyz
Admin
KX2028RRUN·closes in 16mo

Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?

YES means Glenn Youngkin

24h volume
0
9,697 lifetime
Open interest
2,738
+21 over 30d
Spread
5¢
14 × 555 at the touch
24h range
–
33 recent trades
Chance of YES
39%

A YES contract costs 39¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
61%

costs 66¢

YES bid / ask
34¢ / 39¢
NO bid / ask
61¢ / 66¢
Recent buying28% YES · 72% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢volAug 22Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Glenn Youngkin announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Mar 22, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KX2028RRUN-28-GYOU
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 33 trades, 28% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
8d ago38¢5bought yes
8d ago38¢4.01bought yes
8d ago39¢16bought yes
9d ago33¢23bought no
9d ago34¢11bought no
17d ago39¢2.45bought yes
19d ago39¢27bought yes
19d ago38¢10bought yes
24d ago40¢8.36bought yes
28d ago38¢0.27bought yes
28d ago38¢9.73bought yes
1mo ago36¢0.17bought no
1mo ago35¢20bought no
1mo ago34¢25bought no
1mo ago35¢0.17bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.