Will legislation that reinstates the Section 48E commercial Investment Tax Credit, or an equivalent credit, equal to 30% or greater of the solar value for commercial filers who own solar assets beyond the eligibility window currently in effect under the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (Public Law 119-21) become law before Dec 31, 2029?
YES means Yes
- 24h volume
- 0
- 101 lifetime
- Open interest
- 50
- +0 over 30d
- Spread
- 5¢
- 5 × 200 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 4 recent trades
A YES contract costs 81¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 24¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask20081¢
- bid576¢
- bid375¢
- bid20072¢
- bid2070¢
- bid2060¢
- bid2050¢
- bid10040¢
- bid52433¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If legislation that reinstates the Section 48E commercial Investment Tax Credit, or an equivalent credit, equal to 30% or greater of the solar value for commercial filers who own solar assets beyond the eligibility window currently in effect under the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (Public Law 119-21) has become law after Issuance and before Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage. For "become law" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to No. Joint resolutions are treated as bills. Treaties require two-thirds Senate approval for passage. The market resolves based on the first occurrence of the specified milestone.
- opened
- May 6 · 2:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Dec 31, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Dec 31, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KX48ETAXCREDIT-26MAY
This event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
This is the only market in Will the 48E commercial solar Investment Tax Credit be reinstated before December 31, 2029?.
Recent trades
Over the last 4 trades, 1% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7d ago | 75¢ | 17 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 78¢ | 0.12 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 76¢ | 0.12 | bought no |
| 2mo ago | 80¢ | 0.12 | bought yes |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.