Will average gas prices go above $4.50 by Sep 30, 2026?
YES means Above $4.50
- 24h volume
- 0
- 38.0k lifetime
- Open interest
- 18.7k
- +18.7k over 90d
- Spread
- 100¢
- 0 × 0 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 50 recent trades
A YES contract costs 100¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 100¢
This market is closed and resolved NO. Prices shown are the last ones traded.
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If AAA reports that the maximum price of national average regular gas for the US is greater than $4.50 at any time from Issuance through Sep 30, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
- opened
- Sep 1 · 4:00 AM UTC
- closes
- Sep 30 · 1:28 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Oct 2 · 4:14 AM UTC
- floor
- 4.5
- ticker
- KXAAAGASMAXM-26SEP30-4.50
Other outcomes in this event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
Recent trades
Over the last 50 trades, 57% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1mo ago | 2¢ | 5 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 2¢ | 2 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 2¢ | 10 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 2¢ | 100 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 2¢ | 200 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 2¢ | 250 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 2¢ | 500 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 1¢ | 1,000 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 3¢ | 0.57 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 3¢ | 20 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 4¢ | 23 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 4¢ | 3.42 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 4¢ | 20 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 1¢ | 14 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 1¢ | 200 | bought no |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.