Will Israel and Qatar normalize relations before 2027?
YES means Before Jan 1, 2027
- 24h volume
- 96
- 85.4k lifetime
- Open interest
- 41.5k
- +18 over 7d
- Spread
- 0¢
- 1,601 × 260 at the touch
- 24h range
- 3¢ – 3¢
- 50 recent trades
A YES contract costs 3¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 97¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask1514¢
- ask2007¢
- ask1,0005¢
- ask1975¢
- ask9904¢
- ask3004¢
- ask7803¢
- ask2603¢
- bid1,6013¢
- bid5501¢
- bid1,0001¢
- bid2,0001¢
- bid20.0k1¢
- bid21.0k0¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If Israel and Qatar normalize diplomatic relations before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
The agreement must be ratified as before Jan 1, 2027 to be included within the Payout Criterion. Examples of agreements that would be encompassed by the Payout Criterion include the agreements signed in 2020 and 2021 between Israel and Bahrain, the United Arab Emirates, and Morocco.
- opened
- Nov 21, 2024 · 3:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Jan 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXABRAHAMQ-27-JAN01
This event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
This is the only market in Will Israel and Qatar normalize relations before 2027?.
Recent trades
Over the last 50 trades, 17% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9h ago | 3¢ | 96 | bought no |
| 4d ago | 3¢ | 18 | bought yes |
| 10d ago | 4¢ | 1 | bought yes |
| 18d ago | 3¢ | 22 | bought no |
| 18d ago | 4¢ | 10 | bought yes |
| 18d ago | 3¢ | 10 | bought no |
| 19d ago | 3¢ | 260 | bought no |
| 19d ago | 3¢ | 470 | bought no |
| 22d ago | 3¢ | 19 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 3¢ | 700 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 3¢ | 2 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 5¢ | 11 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 5¢ | 11 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 3¢ | 809 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 5¢ | 3 | bought yes |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.