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Abraham Accord Saudi Arabia·closed · YES

Will Israel and Colombia normalize relations before Jan 1, 2027?

YES means Colombia

24h volume
0
31.7k lifetime
Open interest
11.6k
Spread
100¢
0 × 0 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
96%

A YES contract costs 100¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
4%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 100¢
NO bid / ask
0¢ / 100¢
Recent buying45% YES · 55% NO

This market is closed and resolved YES. Prices shown are the last ones traded.

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Empty book.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Israel and Colombia normalize diplomatic relations before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

The agreement must be ratified before Jan 1, 2027 to be included within the Payout Criterion.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 6, 2025 · 7:30 PM UTC
closes
Aug 17 · 2:37 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXABRAHAMSA-27-JAN01-COLO
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 45% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1mo ago96¢70bought yes
1mo ago96¢5bought yes
1mo ago96¢5bought yes
1mo ago96¢5bought yes
1mo ago94¢12bought yes
1mo ago94¢4.38bought yes
1mo ago94¢5bought yes
1mo ago95¢84bought yes
1mo ago92¢5bought no
1mo ago91¢4.38bought no
1mo ago95¢17bought yes
1mo ago95¢1bought yes
1mo ago95¢0.67bought yes
1mo ago96¢1bought yes
1mo ago96¢51bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.