Will Israel and Maldives normalize relations before Jan 1, 2027?
YES means Maldives
- 24h volume
- 0
- 239 lifetime
- Open interest
- 140
- +18 over 90d
- Spread
- 4¢
- 19 × 27 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 4 recent trades
A YES contract costs 8¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 96¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask1,06346¢
- ask68245¢
- ask1444¢
- ask4843¢
- ask4442¢
- ask20010¢
- ask138¢
- ask278¢
- bid194¢
- bid44¢
- bid372¢
- bid2001¢
- bid10.2k1¢
- bid2001¢
- bid2,0000¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If Israel and Maldives normalize diplomatic relations before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
The agreement must be ratified before Jan 1, 2027 to be included within the Payout Criterion.
- opened
- Nov 6, 2025 · 7:30 PM UTC
- closes
- Jan 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXABRAHAMSA-27-JAN01-MALD
Other outcomes in this event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
Recent trades
Over the last 4 trades, 58% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17d ago | 5¢ | 8 | bought no |
| 17d ago | 5¢ | 5.46 | bought no |
| 27d ago | 9¢ | 5.46 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 7¢ | 13 | bought yes |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.