Will Israel and Mauritania normalize relations before Jan 1, 2027?
YES means Mauritania
- 24h volume
- 0
- 545 lifetime
- Open interest
- 374
- Spread
- 4¢
- 0.92 × 4.42 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 7 recent trades
A YES contract costs 10¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 95¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask36083¢
- ask20082¢
- ask1581¢
- ask18857¢
- ask16156¢
- ask11146¢
- ask10010¢
- ask4.4210¢
- bid0.925¢
- bid4.255¢
- bid195¢
- bid244¢
- bid453¢
- bid262¢
- bid2002¢
- bid2001¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If Israel and Mauritania normalize diplomatic relations before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
The agreement must be ratified before Jan 1, 2027 to be included within the Payout Criterion.
- opened
- Nov 6, 2025 · 7:30 PM UTC
- closes
- Jan 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXABRAHAMSA-27-JAN01-MAUR
Other outcomes in this event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
Recent trades
Over the last 7 trades, 42% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 5¢ | 4.42 | bought no |
| 27d ago | 9¢ | 5.34 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 6¢ | 7.84 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 6¢ | 7.53 | bought no |
| 2mo ago | 11¢ | 3.25 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 10¢ | 1 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 10¢ | 4.91 | bought yes |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.