Will Israel and Syria normalize relations before Jan 1, 2027?
YES means Syria
- 24h volume
- 11
- 40.0k lifetime
- Open interest
- 18.5k
- +0 over 24h
- Spread
- 4¢
- 1,392 × 45 at the touch
- 24h range
- 3¢ – 3¢
- 50 recent trades
A YES contract costs 7¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 97¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask6738¢
- ask43536¢
- ask3835¢
- ask17412¢
- ask7611¢
- ask1808¢
- ask4877¢
- ask457¢
- bid1,3923¢
- bid5501¢
- bid2,0001¢
- bid14.4k1¢
- bid490¢
- bid7,0000¢
- bid2,0000¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If Israel and Syria normalize diplomatic relations before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
The agreement must be ratified before Jan 1, 2027 to be included within the Payout Criterion.
- opened
- Nov 7, 2025 · 5:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Jan 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXABRAHAMSA-27-JAN01-SYR
Other outcomes in this event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
Recent trades
Over the last 50 trades, 57% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19h ago | 3¢ | 11 | bought no |
| 3d ago | 5¢ | 64 | bought no |
| 3d ago | 5¢ | 20 | bought no |
| 3d ago | 5¢ | 9.86 | bought no |
| 3d ago | 5¢ | 5.66 | bought no |
| 3d ago | 5¢ | 20 | bought no |
| 5d ago | 6¢ | 1 | bought yes |
| 9d ago | 6¢ | 40 | bought no |
| 10d ago | 7¢ | 1 | bought yes |
| 10d ago | 7¢ | 1 | bought yes |
| 10d ago | 7¢ | 9.03 | bought yes |
| 17d ago | 5¢ | 325 | bought no |
| 18d ago | 5¢ | 24 | bought no |
| 21d ago | 9¢ | 500 | bought no |
| 21d ago | 10¢ | 100 | bought no |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.