Will Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before Jan 20, 2029?
YES means During Trump's term
- 24h volume
- 206
- 90.6k lifetime
- Open interest
- 39.3k
- +11.3k over 7d
- Spread
- 6¢
- 12 × 9.18 at the touch
- 24h range
- 31¢ – 39¢
- 50 recent trades
A YES contract costs 38¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 68¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask1,99368¢
- ask2967¢
- ask50056¢
- ask3955¢
- ask754¢
- ask20040¢
- ask6639¢
- ask9.1838¢
- bid1232¢
- bid27031¢
- bid5625¢
- bid3922¢
- bid21321¢
- bid9917¢
- bid30616¢
- bid35015¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize diplomatic relations before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- opened
- Nov 21, 2024 · 3:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXABRAHAMSA-29-JAN20
This event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
This is the only market in Will Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations during Trump's term?.
Recent trades
Over the last 50 trades, 81% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3h ago | 31¢ | 5.43 | bought no |
| 3h ago | 34¢ | 5 | bought no |
| 5h ago | 33¢ | 5 | bought no |
| 5h ago | 33¢ | 3.75 | bought no |
| 9h ago | 39¢ | 2.45 | bought yes |
| 9h ago | 38¢ | 0.14 | bought yes |
| 9h ago | 39¢ | 54 | bought yes |
| 12h ago | 32¢ | 0.14 | bought no |
| 13h ago | 39¢ | 6.63 | bought yes |
| 13h ago | 39¢ | 10 | bought yes |
| 13h ago | 39¢ | 13 | bought yes |
| 13h ago | 38¢ | 1 | bought yes |
| 15h ago | 39¢ | 90 | bought yes |
| 15h ago | 37¢ | 4.08 | bought yes |
| 15h ago | 37¢ | 5 | bought yes |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.