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Who will play Sonny Crocket in Miami Vice·closes in 101mo

Will Glen Powell be casted in the next Miami Vice?

YES means Glen Powell

24h volume
14
9,970 lifetime
Open interest
2,095
−120 over 90d
Spread
7¢
5 × 6.8 at the touch
24h range
16¢ – 40¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
35%+7

A YES contract costs 35¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
65%

costs 72¢

YES bid / ask
28¢ / 35¢
NO bid / ask
65¢ / 72¢
24h low 16¢24h high 40¢
Recent buying32% YES · 68% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
10¢20¢30¢40¢volJun 23Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Glen Powell is cast in Miami Vice before Jan 1, 2035, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market and these products have not been endorsed by NBC. Any references to NBC, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Kalshi and NBC.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 22, 2025 · 4:30 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2035 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2035 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXACTORSONNYCROCKETT-35-GLE
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 32% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
21h ago35¢3.2bought yes
21h ago32¢11bought yes
4d ago28¢11bought no
4d ago29¢10bought no
4d ago28¢9.05bought no
4d ago29¢5bought no
17d ago28¢10bought no
18d ago30¢2bought no
19d ago36¢2bought yes
19d ago30¢3.8bought no
21d ago36¢5.68bought yes
21d ago35¢1bought yes
21d ago34¢7bought yes
21d ago34¢1bought yes
21d ago34¢1bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.