WHO WILL BE THE ACTOR IN WHITELOTUS·closes in 16mo

Will Barry Keoghan be cast in The White Lotus: Season 4?

YES means Barry Keoghan

24h volume
0
424 lifetime
Open interest
177
Spread
5 × 12 at the touch
24h range
4 recent trades
Chance of YES
12%

A YES contract costs 12¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
88%

costs 94¢

YES bid / ask
/ 12¢
NO bid / ask
88¢ / 94¢
Recent buying75% YES · 25% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask20099¢
  • ask28177¢
  • ask24876¢
  • ask875¢
  • ask10013¢
  • ask1212¢
spreadmid
  • bid5
  • bid5
  • bid104
  • bid140
  • bid200
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Barry Keoghan is cast in The White Lotus: Season 4, then the market resolves to Yes.

opened
Dec 12, 2025 · 10:15 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXACTORWHITELOTUS-27-BAR
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 4 trades, 75% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
12d ago12¢35bought yes
12d ago11¢5bought yes
2mo ago5bought no
2mo ago8bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.