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WHO WILL BE THE ACTOR IN WHITELOTUS·closes in 16mo

Will Deepika Padukone be cast in The White Lotus: Season 4?

YES means Deepika Padukone

24h volume
0
10.5k lifetime
Open interest
5,572
Spread
3¢
100 × 190 at the touch
24h range
–
6 recent trades
Chance of YES
13%

A YES contract costs 17¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
87%

costs 86¢

YES bid / ask
14¢ / 17¢
NO bid / ask
83¢ / 86¢
Recent buying2% YES · 98% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask30488¢
  • ask32287¢
  • ask18767¢
  • ask3961¢
  • ask32360¢
  • ask42658¢
  • ask13557¢
  • ask19017¢
spread3¢mid 16¢
  • bid10014¢
  • bid44413¢
  • bid1008¢
  • bid313¢
  • bid1,0272¢
  • bid2501¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Deepika Padukone is cast in The White Lotus: Season 4, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Feb 19 · 9:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXACTORWHITELOTUS-27-DEE
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 6 trades, 2% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
8d ago13¢491bought no
8d ago14¢100bought no
16d ago13¢12bought no
2mo ago13¢1bought no
2mo ago13¢1bought no
2mo ago16¢12bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.