galdor.xyz
Admin
WHO WILL BE THE ACTOR IN WHITELOTUS·closes in 16mo

Will Oscar Isaac be cast in The White Lotus: Season 4?

YES means Oscar Isaac

24h volume
170
17.8k lifetime
Open interest
12.6k
Spread
7¢
5 × 100 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
58%+35

A YES contract costs 25¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
42%

costs 82¢

YES bid / ask
18¢ / 25¢
NO bid / ask
75¢ / 82¢
Recent buying11% YES · 89% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask567¢
  • ask55062¢
  • ask2,98261¢
  • ask5057¢
  • ask10356¢
  • ask5348¢
  • ask347¢
  • ask10025¢
spread7¢mid 22¢
  • bid518¢
  • bid217¢
  • bid10516¢
  • bid2511¢
  • bid38510¢
  • bid5509¢
  • bid1,0005¢
  • bid483¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Oscar Isaac is cast in The White Lotus: Season 4, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Dec 12, 2025 · 10:15 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXACTORWHITELOTUS-27-OSC
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 11% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
4h ago54¢58bought yes
4h ago23¢5bought yes
4h ago58¢7.31bought yes
4h ago24¢100bought yes
8d ago21¢5bought yes
8d ago22¢5.52bought yes
8d ago23¢13bought yes
10d ago19¢125bought no
10d ago20¢6.16bought yes
11d ago19¢5.5bought no
11d ago18¢55bought no
11d ago16¢5bought no
11d ago19¢6.09bought yes
11d ago19¢0.56bought yes
11d ago19¢1.09bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.