WHO WILL BE THE ACTOR IN WHITELOTUS·closes in 16mo

Will Phoebe Waller-Bridge be cast in The White Lotus: Season 4?

YES means Phoebe Waller-Bridge

24h volume
0
1,412 lifetime
Open interest
680
+0 over 24h
Spread
5 × 6.13 at the touch
24h range
1 recent trades
Chance of YES
3%

A YES contract costs and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
97%

costs 96¢

YES bid / ask
/
NO bid / ask
92¢ / 96¢
Recent buying0% YES · 100% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,17791¢
  • ask1889¢
  • ask10088¢
  • ask3815¢
  • ask1214¢
  • ask112¢
  • ask100
  • ask6.13
spreadmid
  • bid5
  • bid49
  • bid200
  • bid381
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Phoebe Waller-Bridge is cast in The White Lotus: Season 4, then the market resolves to Yes.

opened
Dec 12, 2025 · 10:15 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXACTORWHITELOTUS-27-PHO
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 1 trades, 0% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1mo ago1bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.