WHO WILL BE THE ACTOR IN WHITELOTUS·closes in 16mo

Will Toni Collette be cast in The White Lotus: Season 4?

YES means Toni Collette

24h volume
0
7,439 lifetime
Open interest
1,650
+0 over 7d
Spread
5 × 100 at the touch
24h range
13 recent trades
Chance of YES
29%

A YES contract costs 25¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
71%

costs 82¢

YES bid / ask
18¢ / 25¢
NO bid / ask
75¢ / 82¢
Recent buying80% YES · 20% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

10¢20¢30¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask20368¢
  • ask23963¢
  • ask5362¢
  • ask3360¢
  • ask659¢
  • ask458¢
  • ask0.5229¢
  • ask10025¢
spreadmid 22¢
  • bid518¢
  • bid7317¢
  • bid79716¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Toni Collette is cast in The White Lotus: Season 4, then the market resolves to Yes.

opened
Dec 12, 2025 · 10:15 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXACTORWHITELOTUS-27-TON
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 13 trades, 80% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
4d ago29¢3.28bought yes
8d ago21¢109bought yes
9d ago21¢5bought yes
9d ago22¢17bought yes
16d ago19¢36bought no
21d ago24¢99bought yes
1mo ago16¢13bought no
1mo ago20¢5bought no
1mo ago19¢20bought no
2mo ago25¢3.8bought yes
2mo ago26¢41bought yes
2mo ago24¢15bought yes
2mo ago24¢0.94bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.