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When will artist release a new album?·closes in 2mo

Will Drake release new album after issuance and before Dec 1, 2026

YES means Before Dec 1, 2026

24h volume
0
3,165 lifetime
Open interest
1,334
Spread
40¢
5 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
45%

A YES contract costs 64¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
55%

costs 76¢

YES bid / ask
24¢ / 64¢
NO bid / ask
36¢ / 76¢
Recent buying44% YES · 56% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask50093¢
  • ask1.9391¢
  • ask23890¢
  • ask3789¢
  • ask2184¢
  • ask20080¢
  • ask1065¢
  • ask564¢
spread40¢mid 44¢
  • bid524¢
  • bid5.499¢
  • bid58¢
  • bid8.516¢
  • bid374¢
  • bid2913¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Drake releases a new album after issuance and before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 21 · 11:52 PM UTC
closes
Dec 1 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Feb 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXALBUMRELEASEDATE-NEWDRA-26DEC01
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 44% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1d ago45¢1.79bought yes
1d ago68¢6.82bought yes
1d ago45¢1.79bought yes
2d ago43¢95bought no
3d ago45¢35bought yes
3d ago45¢8.15bought yes
3d ago43¢8.51bought no
3d ago43¢10bought no
4d ago44¢35bought no
4d ago50¢0.03bought yes
4d ago45¢1bought no
4d ago43¢3.32bought no
4d ago45¢15bought no
4d ago51¢95bought yes
4d ago51¢1.89bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.