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When will artist release a new album?·closes in 19d

Will Drake release new album after issuance and before Oct 10, 2026

YES means Before Oct 10, 2026

24h volume
0
3,046 lifetime
Open interest
831
+211 over 7d
Spread
23¢
5 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
33 recent trades
Chance of YES
25%

A YES contract costs 31¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
75%

costs 92¢

YES bid / ask
8¢ / 31¢
NO bid / ask
69¢ / 92¢
Recent buying46% YES · 54% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask38281¢
  • ask21972¢
  • ask15371¢
  • ask9570¢
  • ask13068¢
  • ask2052¢
  • ask6.0251¢
  • ask531¢
spread23¢mid 20¢
  • bid58¢
  • bid4.127¢
  • bid656¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Drake releases a new album after issuance and before Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 3 · 10:00 PM UTC
closes
Oct 10 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Feb 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXALBUMRELEASEDATE-NEWDRA-26OCT10
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 33 trades, 46% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1d ago25¢1bought yes
1d ago22¢2.12bought yes
1d ago25¢1bought yes
1d ago25¢1bought yes
1d ago59¢15bought yes
3d ago24¢10bought no
3d ago23¢5bought no
3d ago22¢193bought no
3d ago22¢201bought no
4d ago24¢1bought no
4d ago25¢200bought no
5d ago26¢1bought no
5d ago26¢1bought no
5d ago29¢200bought no
5d ago33¢15bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.