Anthropic·closes in 16mo

Will Allen & Company take Anthropic public before Jan 1, 2028?

YES means Allen & Company

24h volume
0
2,178 lifetime
Open interest
786
+101 over 30d
Spread
200 × 5 at the touch
24h range
37¢ – 75¢
9 recent trades
Chance of YES
69%

A YES contract costs 58¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
31%

costs 49¢

YES bid / ask
51¢ / 58¢
NO bid / ask
42¢ / 49¢
24h low 37¢24h high 75¢
Recent buying47% YES · 53% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volAug 22Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Allen & Company serves as a lead underwriter for Anthropic's initial public offering in the United States before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

The bank must serve as lead underwriter, book-running manager, or global coordinator as documented in SEC filings (Form S-1 or final prospectus) or official announcements. Joint book-running managers qualify. Direct listings, SPAC mergers, secondary offerings, and private placements do not qualify. If the bank merges with another institution, the surviving entity under any name qualifies. For dual listings, only the U.S. portion is considered. Even if the IPO is later shelved, the market resolves Yes based on the announcement of the underwriting relationship.

opened
Jun 3 · 9:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXANTHROPICBANKPUBLIC-28JAN01-ALLCX
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 9 trades, 47% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
7d ago69¢200bought no
9d ago75¢200bought no
10d ago41¢100bought no
16d ago40¢1bought no
16d ago69¢200bought yes
16d ago64¢200bought yes
29d ago37¢5.17bought yes
2mo ago41¢35bought yes
2mo ago32¢2bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.