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Anthropic·closes in 16mo

Will Centerview take Anthropic public before Jan 1, 2028?

YES means Centerview

24h volume
0
2,004 lifetime
Open interest
1,085
Spread
13¢
0 × 100 at the touch
24h range
–
6 recent trades
Chance of YES
13%

A YES contract costs 13¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
87%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 13¢
NO bid / ask
87¢ / 100¢
Recent buying0% YES · 100% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5682¢
  • ask91481¢
  • ask20021¢
  • ask10013¢
spread–mid –
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If Centerview serves as a lead underwriter for Anthropic's initial public offering in the United States before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

    The bank must serve as lead underwriter, book-running manager, or global coordinator as documented in SEC filings (Form S-1 or final prospectus) or official announcements. Joint book-running managers qualify. Direct listings, SPAC mergers, secondary offerings, and private placements do not qualify. If the bank merges with another institution, the surviving entity under any name qualifies. For dual listings, only the U.S. portion is considered. Even if the IPO is later shelved, the market resolves Yes based on the announcement of the underwriting relationship.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Jun 3 · 9:00 PM UTC
    closes
    Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
    ticker
    KXANTHROPICBANKPUBLIC-28JAN01-CVPXX
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Outcomes in this event settle independently.

    Recent trades

    Over the last 6 trades, 0% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    25d ago13¢350bought no
    25d ago14¢40bought no
    29d ago14¢95bought no
    29d ago14¢100bought no
    29d ago13¢500bought no
    2mo ago10¢2bought no

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.