Anthropic·closes in 16mo

Will Greenhill & Co take Anthropic public before Jan 1, 2028?

YES means Greenhill & Co

24h volume: 0; 600 lifetime
Open interest: 516; +0 over 7d
Spread: 7¢; 200 × 5 at the touch
24h range: –; 1 recent trades

Chance of YES

11%

A YES contract costs 18¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

89%

costs 89¢

YES bid / ask

11¢ / 18¢

NO bid / ask

82¢ / 89¢

Recent buying0% YES · 100% NO

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.

2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.

3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h 7d 30d 90d

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes

ask20099¢
ask5,04998¢
ask10050¢
ask10049¢
ask20019¢
ask518¢

spread7¢mid 15¢

bid20011¢

Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Greenhill & Co serves as a lead underwriter for Anthropic's initial public offering in the United States before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

The bank must serve as lead underwriter, book-running manager, or global coordinator as documented in SEC filings (Form S-1 or final prospectus) or official announcements. Joint book-running managers qualify. Direct listings, SPAC mergers, secondary offerings, and private placements do not qualify. If the bank merges with another institution, the surviving entity under any name qualifies. For dual listings, only the U.S. portion is considered. Even if the IPO is later shelved, the market resolves Yes based on the announcement of the underwriting relationship.

Settlement sources

opened: Jun 3 · 9:00 PM UTC
closes: Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by: Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker: KXANTHROPICBANKPUBLIC-28JAN01-GHLX

Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 1 trades, 0% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

When	YES	Contracts	Side
29d ago	11¢	0.55	bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.