Will Stifel Financial take Anthropic public before Jan 1, 2028?
YES means Stifel Financial
- 24h volume
- 0
- 2,300 lifetime
- Open interest
- 1,608
- +0 over 24h
- Spread
- 7¢
- 200 × 5 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 9 recent trades
A YES contract costs 38¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 69¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
Order book unavailable.
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If Stifel Financial serves as a lead underwriter for Anthropic's initial public offering in the United States before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
The bank must serve as lead underwriter, book-running manager, or global coordinator as documented in SEC filings (Form S-1 or final prospectus) or official announcements. Joint book-running managers qualify. Direct listings, SPAC mergers, secondary offerings, and private placements do not qualify. If the bank merges with another institution, the surviving entity under any name qualifies. For dual listings, only the U.S. portion is considered. Even if the IPO is later shelved, the market resolves Yes based on the announcement of the underwriting relationship.
- opened
- Jun 3 · 9:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXANTHROPICBANKPUBLIC-28JAN01-SFX
Other outcomes in this event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
Recent trades
Over the last 9 trades, 21% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25d ago | 37¢ | 185 | bought yes |
| 25d ago | 29¢ | 55 | bought no |
| 25d ago | 31¢ | 130 | bought no |
| 27d ago | 43¢ | 85 | bought no |
| 29d ago | 43¢ | 0.85 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 43¢ | 1 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 43¢ | 400 | bought no |
| 2mo ago | 43¢ | 8 | bought no |
| 2mo ago | 42¢ | 26 | bought no |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.