KXANTHROPICBANKPUBLIC·closes in 16mo

Will William Blair take Anthropic public before Jan 1, 2028?

YES means William Blair

24h volume
0
1,288 lifetime
Open interest
743
Spread
205 × 200 at the touch
24h range
7 recent trades
Chance of YES
42%

A YES contract costs 49¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
58%

costs 59¢

YES bid / ask
41¢ / 49¢
NO bid / ask
51¢ / 59¢
Recent buying82% YES · 18% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If William Blair serves as a lead underwriter for Anthropic's initial public offering in the United States before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

The bank must serve as lead underwriter, book-running manager, or global coordinator as documented in SEC filings (Form S-1 or final prospectus) or official announcements. Joint book-running managers qualify. Direct listings, SPAC mergers, secondary offerings, and private placements do not qualify. If the bank merges with another institution, the surviving entity under any name qualifies. For dual listings, only the U.S. portion is considered. Even if the IPO is later shelved, the market resolves Yes based on the announcement of the underwriting relationship.

opened
Jun 3 · 9:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXANTHROPICBANKPUBLIC-28JAN01-WBLAX
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 7 trades, 82% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
29d ago42¢0.83bought no
1mo ago48¢5bought yes
1mo ago49¢65bought yes
2mo ago43¢250bought yes
2mo ago41¢1bought yes
2mo ago34¢1bought no
2mo ago36¢70bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.