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Summer Olympics USA Men's Basketball Team·closes in 23mo

Will Jalen Brunson be selected to the USA Men's Basketball team for the 2028 Summer Olympics?

YES means Jalen Brunson

24h volume
20
2,100 lifetime
Open interest
1,390
+0 over 30d
Spread
18¢
72 × 61 at the touch
24h range
56¢ – 56¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
56%−19

A YES contract costs 75¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
44%

costs 43¢

YES bid / ask
57¢ / 75¢
NO bid / ask
25¢ / 43¢
24h low 56¢24h high 56¢
Recent buying78% YES · 22% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
50¢60¢70¢80¢volAug 22Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask6299¢
  • ask27396¢
  • ask9890¢
  • ask1477¢
  • ask6175¢
spread18¢mid 66¢
  • bid7257¢
  • bid23356¢
  • bid1,09042¢
  • bid12234¢
  • bid130¢
  • bid4,1957¢
  • bid566¢
  • bid10.0k1¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Jalen Brunson is selected to the USA Men's Basketball team for the 2028 Summer Olympics, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market resolves based on whether Jalen Brunson is selected to the team. If they are selected but do not end up competing in the event, then the market still resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
May 29 · 12:00 AM UTC
closes
Jul 31, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jul 31, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXBBALLTEAMUSA-28-JBRUNSON11
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 78% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
9h ago56¢20bought no
2d ago75¢1.19bought yes
15d ago75¢0.18bought yes
18d ago75¢2.68bought yes
18d ago75¢3.49bought yes
19d ago75¢2.75bought yes
20d ago75¢0.27bought yes
1mo ago54¢78bought no
1mo ago54¢200bought yes
1mo ago52¢69bought no
1mo ago55¢200bought yes
1mo ago50¢200bought yes
1mo ago50¢2bought yes
1mo ago50¢1.12bought yes
1mo ago56¢35bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.