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Summer Olympics USA Men's Basketball Team·closes in 23mo

Will LeBron James be selected to the USA Men's Basketball team for the 2028 Summer Olympics?

YES means LeBron James

24h volume
0
827 lifetime
Open interest
780
−19 over 30d
Spread
95¢
0 × 7.01 at the touch
24h range
–
15 recent trades
Chance of YES
13%

A YES contract costs 95¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
87%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 95¢
NO bid / ask
5¢ / 100¢
Recent buying96% YES · 4% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volAug 22Sep 19

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask199¢
  • ask7.0195¢
spread–mid –
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If LeBron James is selected to the USA Men's Basketball team for the 2028 Summer Olympics, then the market resolves to Yes.

    This market resolves based on whether LeBron James is selected to the team. If they are selected but do not end up competing in the event, then the market still resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    May 29 · 12:00 AM UTC
    closes
    Jul 31, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Jul 31, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC
    ticker
    KXBBALLTEAMUSA-28-LJAMES23
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Outcomes in this event settle independently.

    Recent trades

    Over the last 15 trades, 96% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    12d ago13¢21bought no
    12d ago14¢5bought no
    15d ago14¢2.01bought no
    2mo ago20¢85bought yes
    2mo ago20¢10bought yes
    2mo ago20¢9.46bought yes
    2mo ago20¢4.73bought yes
    2mo ago20¢2bought yes
    2mo ago20¢4.73bought yes
    2mo ago98¢0.26bought yes
    2mo ago15¢83bought yes
    2mo ago15¢167bought yes
    2mo ago10¢83bought yes
    2mo ago97¢0.43bought yes
    2mo ago10¢167bought yes

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.