Bitcoin price Above/below·closed · NO

Bitcoin price on Nov 4, 2026?

YES means $80,700 or above

24h volume
129.1k
129.1k lifetime
Open interest
41.6k
+41.0k over 24h
Spread
100¢
0 × 0 at the touch
24h range
1¢ – 60¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 100¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 100¢
NO bid / ask
0¢ / 100¢
24h low 1¢24h high 60¢
Recent buying24% YES · 76% NO

This market is closed and resolved NO. Prices shown are the last ones traded.

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volNov 5, 2:01 AMNov 5, 3:01 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Empty book.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 10 PM EST is above 80699.99 at 10 PM EST on Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 5 · 2:00 AM UTC
closes
Nov 5 · 3:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 3:05 AM UTC
floor
80699.99
ticker
KXBTCD-26NOV0422-T80699.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 24% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
59m ago1¢111bought yes
59m ago1¢252bought yes
59m ago1¢144bought yes
59m ago1¢5.31bought yes
59m ago1¢19bought yes
59m ago1¢14bought yes
59m ago1¢1.5bought yes
59m ago1¢70bought yes
59m ago1¢10bought yes
59m ago1¢58bought yes
59m ago1¢416bought yes
59m ago1¢5.04bought yes
59m ago1¢52bought yes
59m ago1¢57bought yes
59m ago1¢8.02bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.