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Bitcoin price Above/below·closed · NO

Bitcoin price on Nov 4, 2026?

YES means $81,000 or above

24h volume
37.9k
37.9k lifetime
Open interest
26.8k
Spread
100¢
0 × 0 at the touch
24h range
1¢ – 21¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 100¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 100¢
NO bid / ask
0¢ / 100¢
24h low 1¢24h high 21¢
Recent buying61% YES · 39% NO

This market is closed and resolved NO. Prices shown are the last ones traded.

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Empty book.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 10 PM EST is above 80999.99 at 10 PM EST on Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 5 · 2:00 AM UTC
closes
Nov 5 · 3:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 3:05 AM UTC
floor
80999.99
ticker
KXBTCD-26NOV0422-T80999.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 61% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2h ago1¢8bought yes
2h ago1¢50bought yes
2h ago1¢116bought yes
2h ago1¢352bought yes
2h ago1¢23bought yes
2h ago1¢468bought yes
2h ago1¢81bought yes
2h ago1¢106bought yes
2h ago1¢94bought yes
2h ago1¢94bought yes
2h ago1¢1,192bought no
2h ago1¢200bought no
2h ago1¢8bought no
2h ago1¢90bought no
2h ago1¢5bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.