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Bitcoin price Above/below·closes in 17h

Bitcoin price on Nov 5, 2026?

YES means $77,750 or above

24h volume
2,587
2,587 lifetime
Open interest
2,259
+2,259 over 24h
Spread
1¢
5,016 × 3,435 at the touch
24h range
93¢ – 98¢
29 recent trades
Chance of YES
97%

A YES contract costs 98¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
3%

costs 3¢

YES bid / ask
97¢ / 98¢
NO bid / ask
2¢ / 3¢
24h low 93¢24h high 98¢
Recent buying45% YES · 55% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
85¢90¢95¢100¢volNov 4, 9:07 PMNov 5, 4:42 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask9,75999¢
  • ask3,43598¢
spread1¢mid 98¢
  • bid5,01697¢
  • bid7,00796¢
  • bid5,86595¢
  • bid10.0k94¢
  • bid1,55193¢
  • bid56192¢
  • bid0.391¢
  • bid0.390¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EST is above 77749.99 at 5 PM EST on Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 4 · 9:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 5 · 10:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 10:05 PM UTC
floor
77749.99
ticker
KXBTCD-26NOV0517-T77749.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 29 trades, 45% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
36m ago97¢100bought no
40m ago98¢47bought yes
41m ago98¢20bought yes
41m ago98¢38bought yes
41m ago98¢28bought yes
44m ago97¢20bought no
2h ago98¢8bought yes
3h ago95¢10bought no
4h ago96¢141bought no
4h ago96¢23bought no
4h ago96¢23bought no
4h ago97¢596bought no
4h ago97¢200bought no
4h ago96¢179bought yes
4h ago96¢4bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.