galdor.xyz
Admin
Bitcoin price Above/below·closes in 17h

Bitcoin price on Nov 5, 2026?

YES means $78,250 or above

24h volume
9,464
9,504 lifetime
Open interest
9,188
+9,188 over 24h
Spread
1¢
5,324 × 4,406 at the touch
24h range
91¢ – 96¢
35 recent trades
Chance of YES
95%

A YES contract costs 95¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
5%

costs 6¢

YES bid / ask
94¢ / 95¢
NO bid / ask
5¢ / 6¢
24h low 91¢24h high 96¢
Recent buying6% YES · 94% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
85¢90¢95¢100¢volNov 4, 10:11 PMNov 5, 4:30 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,17799¢
  • ask1,10298¢
  • ask8,19797¢
  • ask9,94596¢
  • ask4,40695¢
spread1¢mid 95¢
  • bid5,32494¢
  • bid9,96293¢
  • bid7,98792¢
  • bid5.391¢
  • bid5,00890¢
  • bid0.389¢
  • bid40088¢
  • bid0.387¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EST is above 78249.99 at 5 PM EST on Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 4 · 9:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 5 · 10:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 10:05 PM UTC
floor
78249.99
ticker
KXBTCD-26NOV0517-T78249.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 35 trades, 6% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
8m ago95¢20bought yes
9m ago95¢20bought yes
30m ago96¢26bought yes
31m ago95¢43bought no
38m ago95¢64bought no
1h ago96¢13bought yes
1h ago96¢17bought yes
1h ago96¢24bought yes
3h ago95¢15bought no
3h ago93¢80bought no
4h ago94¢16bought yes
4h ago93¢5bought no
4h ago93¢2bought no
4h ago93¢519bought no
4h ago93¢100bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.