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Bitcoin price Above/below·closes in 18h

Bitcoin price on Nov 5, 2026?

YES means $79,500 or above

24h volume
8,608
8,676 lifetime
Open interest
4,569
+4,569 over 7d
Spread
1¢
5,810 × 9,668 at the touch
24h range
67¢ – 82¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
78%

A YES contract costs 78¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
22%

costs 23¢

YES bid / ask
77¢ / 78¢
NO bid / ask
22¢ / 23¢
24h low 67¢24h high 82¢
Recent buying48% YES · 52% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
70¢75¢80¢85¢volNov 4, 11:00 PMNov 5, 4:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask20085¢
  • ask20084¢
  • ask20083¢
  • ask1,03982¢
  • ask1,99281¢
  • ask11.0k80¢
  • ask5,16479¢
  • ask8,66878¢
spread1¢mid 78¢
  • bid5,81477¢
  • bid5,60176¢
  • bid5,90175¢
  • bid5,05174¢
  • bid5,20073¢
  • bid20072¢
  • bid41471¢
  • bid20070¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EST is above 79499.99 at 5 PM EST on Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 4 · 9:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 5 · 10:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 10:05 PM UTC
floor
79499.99
ticker
KXBTCD-26NOV0517-T79499.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 48% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
8m ago78¢68bought no
21m ago81¢4.94bought no
42m ago80¢45bought no
42m ago80¢455bought no
48m ago77¢1bought no
1h ago78¢10bought no
2h ago82¢524bought yes
2h ago82¢500bought yes
2h ago82¢180bought yes
2h ago80¢271bought yes
2h ago80¢296bought yes
2h ago80¢166bought yes
2h ago77¢0.98bought yes
3h ago72¢50bought yes
3h ago71¢0.98bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.