Bitcoin price Above/below·closes in 18h

Bitcoin price on Nov 5, 2026?

YES means $80,000 or above

24h volume
27.2k
27.6k lifetime
Open interest
15.3k
Spread
1¢
5,697 × 6,208 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
68%

A YES contract costs 71¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
32%

costs 30¢

YES bid / ask
70¢ / 71¢
NO bid / ask
29¢ / 30¢
Recent buying38% YES · 62% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EST is above 79999.99 at 5 PM EST on Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 4 · 9:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 5 · 10:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 10:05 PM UTC
floor
79999.99
ticker
KXBTCD-26NOV0517-T79999.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 38% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
5m ago68¢0.08bought yes
6m ago68¢10bought yes
6m ago68¢10bought yes
6m ago67¢35bought no
6m ago67¢4bought no
6m ago67¢370bought no
21m ago70¢151bought no
21m ago70¢7bought no
21m ago70¢138bought no
23m ago69¢452bought yes
29m ago64¢27bought no
30m ago64¢100bought no
31m ago64¢26bought no
37m ago66¢296bought yes
44m ago66¢15bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.