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Bitcoin price Above/below·closes in 18h

Bitcoin price on Nov 5, 2026?

YES means $80,000 or above

24h volume
27.6k
28.1k lifetime
Open interest
15.0k
+15.4k over 24h
Spread
1¢
5,816 × 10.8k at the touch
24h range
53¢ – 71¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
63%

A YES contract costs 63¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
37%

costs 38¢

YES bid / ask
62¢ / 63¢
NO bid / ask
37¢ / 38¢
24h low 53¢24h high 71¢
Recent buying41% YES · 59% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
50¢60¢70¢volNov 4, 9:36 PMNov 5, 4:08 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask20270¢
  • ask20069¢
  • ask30068¢
  • ask20067¢
  • ask20066¢
  • ask10.6k65¢
  • ask6,36764¢
  • ask10.6k63¢
spread1¢mid 63¢
  • bid5,81662¢
  • bid4,33361¢
  • bid5,10960¢
  • bid4,83259¢
  • bid5,84758¢
  • bid83557¢
  • bid20056¢
  • bid20055¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EST is above 79999.99 at 5 PM EST on Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 4 · 9:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 5 · 10:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 10:05 PM UTC
floor
79999.99
ticker
KXBTCD-26NOV0517-T79999.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 41% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
37s ago63¢409bought yes
2m ago62¢13bought no
6m ago63¢20bought no
19m ago66¢2bought no
19m ago66¢2bought no
33m ago68¢0.08bought yes
33m ago68¢10bought yes
33m ago68¢10bought yes
34m ago67¢35bought no
34m ago67¢4bought no
34m ago67¢370bought no
48m ago70¢151bought no
48m ago70¢7bought no
48m ago70¢138bought no
51m ago69¢452bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.