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Bitcoin price Above/below·closes in 18h

Bitcoin price on Nov 5, 2026?

YES means $80,250 or above

24h volume
10.3k
10.3k lifetime
Open interest
3,812
+3,587 over 30d
Spread
1¢
5,692 × 7,517 at the touch
24h range
43¢ – 65¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
55%

A YES contract costs 55¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
45%

costs 46¢

YES bid / ask
54¢ / 55¢
NO bid / ask
45¢ / 46¢
24h low 43¢24h high 65¢
Recent buying36% YES · 64% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
40¢50¢60¢volNov 4, 10:00 PMNov 5, 4:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask20262¢
  • ask20061¢
  • ask30060¢
  • ask20059¢
  • ask80858¢
  • ask10.2k57¢
  • ask9,18256¢
  • ask7,43855¢
spread1¢mid 55¢
  • bid5,69254¢
  • bid4,28853¢
  • bid5,05352¢
  • bid4,79951¢
  • bid5,80350¢
  • bid94949¢
  • bid20048¢
  • bid9047¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EST is above 80249.99 at 5 PM EST on Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 4 · 9:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 5 · 10:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 10:05 PM UTC
floor
80249.99
ticker
KXBTCD-26NOV0517-T80249.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 36% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
4s ago55¢79bought yes
3m ago55¢8.81bought yes
6m ago55¢0.88bought yes
8m ago56¢5.19bought yes
18m ago59¢50bought yes
18m ago59¢45bought yes
19m ago59¢1.64bought yes
24m ago63¢0.25bought no
34m ago64¢13bought no
34m ago64¢9.85bought no
37m ago62¢104bought no
50m ago63¢72bought no
52m ago62¢4.96bought no
59m ago58¢3.31bought yes
1h ago57¢169bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.