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Bitcoin price Above/below·closes in 18h

Bitcoin price on Nov 5, 2026?

YES means $80,750 or above

24h volume
17.1k
17.1k lifetime
Open interest
9,180
+4,093 over 7d
Spread
1¢
1,830 × 6,671 at the touch
24h range
32¢ – 51¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
43%

A YES contract costs 43¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
57%

costs 58¢

YES bid / ask
42¢ / 43¢
NO bid / ask
57¢ / 58¢
24h low 32¢24h high 51¢
Recent buying21% YES · 79% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
30¢35¢40¢45¢50¢volNov 4, 10:00 PMNov 5, 3:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask20250¢
  • ask35049¢
  • ask20048¢
  • ask1,12047¢
  • ask69446¢
  • ask5,61945¢
  • ask14.1k44¢
  • ask6,67143¢
spread1¢mid 43¢
  • bid1,83042¢
  • bid4,17741¢
  • bid10.2k40¢
  • bid5,19239¢
  • bid81038¢
  • bid5,80537¢
  • bid80736¢
  • bid20035¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EST is above 80749.99 at 5 PM EST on Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 4 · 9:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 5 · 10:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 10:05 PM UTC
floor
80749.99
ticker
KXBTCD-26NOV0517-T80749.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 21% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
8m ago43¢2.13bought no
11m ago44¢31bought no
11m ago45¢2.13bought yes
22m ago49¢3,629bought no
22m ago49¢100bought no
22m ago49¢1,000bought no
22m ago49¢500bought no
22m ago49¢511bought no
23m ago48¢3.65bought yes
24m ago47¢3.65bought no
35m ago46¢6bought no
35m ago46¢200bought no
41m ago46¢0.89bought no
42m ago46¢178bought no
44m ago44¢4.94bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.