Bitcoin price Above/below·closes in 18h

Bitcoin price on Nov 5, 2026?

YES means $80,750 or above

24h volume
17.3k
17.4k lifetime
Open interest
9,264
Spread
1¢
6,901 × 5,644 at the touch
24h range
32¢ – 51¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
39%

A YES contract costs 39¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
61%

costs 62¢

YES bid / ask
38¢ / 39¢
NO bid / ask
61¢ / 62¢
24h low 32¢24h high 51¢
Recent buying19% YES · 81% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask20246¢
  • ask20045¢
  • ask20044¢
  • ask20043¢
  • ask70042¢
  • ask15.0k41¢
  • ask6,52540¢
  • ask6,64439¢
spread1¢mid 39¢
  • bid6,80138¢
  • bid5,49537¢
  • bid10.1k36¢
  • bid59435¢
  • bid5,83434¢
  • bid72233¢
  • bid62132¢
  • bid44531¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EST is above 80749.99 at 5 PM EST on Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 4 · 9:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 5 · 10:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 10:05 PM UTC
floor
80749.99
ticker
KXBTCD-26NOV0517-T80749.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 19% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
47s ago39¢20bought yes
2m ago39¢36bought yes
2m ago39¢8bought yes
2m ago39¢12bought yes
2m ago39¢0.25bought yes
4m ago38¢16bought yes
6m ago37¢2.36bought no
6m ago37¢2bought no
7m ago38¢61bought no
11m ago38¢20bought no
17m ago40¢2.39bought yes
19m ago40¢0.23bought yes
20m ago40¢12bought yes
21m ago39¢16bought no
25m ago40¢25bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.