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Bitcoin price Above/below·closes in 18h

Bitcoin price on Nov 5, 2026?

YES means $81,250 or above

24h volume
11.2k
11.3k lifetime
Open interest
6,832
Spread
1¢
1,115 × 6,775 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
25%

A YES contract costs 26¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
75%

costs 75¢

YES bid / ask
25¢ / 26¢
NO bid / ask
74¢ / 75¢
Recent buying66% YES · 34% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask20033¢
  • ask20032¢
  • ask20031¢
  • ask1,20130¢
  • ask41329¢
  • ask15.1k28¢
  • ask5,12427¢
  • ask6,67526¢
spread1¢mid 26¢
  • bid1,01525¢
  • bid9,57324¢
  • bid5,06623¢
  • bid5,38222¢
  • bid5,99221¢
  • bid1,25320¢
  • bid61119¢
  • bid20018¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EST is above 81249.99 at 5 PM EST on Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 4 · 9:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 5 · 10:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 10:05 PM UTC
floor
81249.99
ticker
KXBTCD-26NOV0517-T81249.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 66% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3m ago25¢58bought no
35m ago34¢56bought yes
41m ago33¢13bought no
43m ago32¢31bought no
43m ago33¢100bought yes
43m ago33¢500bought yes
43m ago33¢433bought yes
43m ago33¢109bought yes
53m ago33¢53bought yes
54m ago32¢143bought no
56m ago33¢1,000bought no
56m ago33¢449bought no
1h ago30¢25bought yes
1h ago29¢29bought yes
1h ago29¢14bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.