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Bitcoin price Above/below·closes in 18h

Bitcoin price on Nov 5, 2026?

YES means $81,500 or above

24h volume
8,969
9,032 lifetime
Open interest
7,831
Spread
1¢
6,105 × 6,457 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
20%

A YES contract costs 20¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
80%

costs 81¢

YES bid / ask
19¢ / 20¢
NO bid / ask
80¢ / 81¢
Recent buying96% YES · 4% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2427¢
  • ask30026¢
  • ask43825¢
  • ask20024¢
  • ask5,64523¢
  • ask9,99522¢
  • ask6,26721¢
  • ask6,46120¢
spread1¢mid 19¢
  • bid6,10519¢
  • bid8,54318¢
  • bid5,44317¢
  • bid5,87716¢
  • bid1,41115¢
  • bid65714¢
  • bid66813¢
  • bid20012¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EST is above 81499.99 at 5 PM EST on Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 4 · 9:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 5 · 10:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 10:05 PM UTC
floor
81499.99
ticker
KXBTCD-26NOV0517-T81499.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 96% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2m ago20¢63bought yes
10m ago21¢9.02bought yes
13m ago22¢250bought yes
13m ago22¢200bought yes
13m ago22¢500bought yes
13m ago22¢428bought yes
13m ago22¢443bought yes
13m ago22¢8bought yes
13m ago22¢1,000bought yes
13m ago22¢4bought yes
13m ago22¢418bought yes
13m ago22¢3,843bought yes
14m ago22¢10bought yes
30m ago27¢176bought yes
32m ago26¢1bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.