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Bitcoin price Above/below·closes in 18h

Bitcoin price on Nov 5, 2026?

YES means $81,750 or above

24h volume
11.6k
11.7k lifetime
Open interest
9,219
Spread
1¢
946 × 7,188 at the touch
24h range
–
45 recent trades
Chance of YES
16%

A YES contract costs 17¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
84%

costs 84¢

YES bid / ask
16¢ / 17¢
NO bid / ask
83¢ / 84¢
Recent buying90% YES · 10% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask20024¢
  • ask20023¢
  • ask45922¢
  • ask1,31921¢
  • ask20020¢
  • ask11.3k19¢
  • ask9,80718¢
  • ask7,18817¢
spread1¢mid 17¢
  • bid94616¢
  • bid1,06415¢
  • bid9,69014¢
  • bid6,14413¢
  • bid11.4k12¢
  • bid1,15511¢
  • bid79110¢
  • bid2009¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EST is above 81749.99 at 5 PM EST on Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 4 · 9:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 5 · 10:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 10:05 PM UTC
floor
81749.99
ticker
KXBTCD-26NOV0517-T81749.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 45 trades, 90% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
35s ago16¢54bought no
2m ago17¢54bought yes
11m ago18¢253bought yes
15m ago19¢250bought yes
15m ago19¢2,157bought yes
21m ago21¢2bought yes
49m ago18¢131bought yes
1h ago18¢123bought no
1h ago18¢605bought no
1h ago18¢200bought no
1h ago17¢2.14bought no
2h ago22¢100bought yes
2h ago25¢2bought yes
2h ago25¢100bought yes
2h ago25¢200bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.