Bitcoin price Above/below·closes in 18h

Bitcoin price on Nov 5, 2026?

YES means $82,250 or above

24h volume
3,332
3,332 lifetime
Open interest
3,222
+3,222 over 24h
Spread
1¢
493 × 5,640 at the touch
24h range
8¢ – 16¢
47 recent trades
Chance of YES
9%

A YES contract costs 9¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
91%

costs 92¢

YES bid / ask
8¢ / 9¢
NO bid / ask
91¢ / 92¢
24h low 8¢24h high 16¢
Recent buying88% YES · 12% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢5¢10¢15¢20¢volNov 4, 9:02 PMNov 5, 4:24 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask20016¢
  • ask20015¢
  • ask57714¢
  • ask20013¢
  • ask5,26112¢
  • ask6,00111¢
  • ask9,81110¢
  • ask5,6409¢
spread1¢mid 9¢
  • bid4938¢
  • bid4,6237¢
  • bid8,3916¢
  • bid10.7k5¢
  • bid2,5604¢
  • bid1,3003¢
  • bid3002¢
  • bid2001¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EST is above 82249.99 at 5 PM EST on Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 4 · 9:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 5 · 10:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 10:05 PM UTC
floor
82249.99
ticker
KXBTCD-26NOV0517-T82249.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 47 trades, 88% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
12m ago9¢48bought yes
18m ago9¢10bought no
25m ago11¢25bought yes
46m ago12¢3.08bought yes
2h ago14¢320bought yes
3h ago11¢0.85bought yes
3h ago10¢168bought yes
3h ago10¢332bought yes
3h ago10¢5.64bought yes
3h ago13¢0.5bought no
3h ago14¢34bought yes
4h ago13¢0.5bought no
4h ago13¢40bought no
4h ago13¢0.5bought no
4h ago13¢1bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.