Bitcoin price Above/below·closes in 16h

Bitcoin price on Sep 21, 2026?

YES means $77,750 or above

24h volume
291
291 lifetime
Open interest
288
+0 over 90d
Spread
2,599 × 0 at the touch
24h range
96¢ – 99¢
21 recent trades
Chance of YES
97%

A YES contract costs 100¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
3%

costs

YES bid / ask
98¢ / 100¢
NO bid / ask
/
24h low 96¢24h high 99¢
Recent buying14% YES · 86% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
    spreadmid
    • bid2,59998¢
    • bid7,00097¢
    • bid2,56096¢
    • bid394¢
    • bid17158¢
    • bid66457¢
    • bid1,74456¢
    • bid37655¢
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 77749.99 at 5 PM EDT on Sep 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Sep 20 · 8:00 PM UTC
    closes
    Sep 21 · 9:00 PM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Sep 21 · 9:05 PM UTC
    floor
    77749.99
    ticker
    KXBTCD-26SEP2117-T77749.99
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Outcomes in this event settle independently.

    Recent trades

    Over the last 21 trades, 14% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    55m ago97¢62bought no
    2h ago99¢3bought yes
    2h ago98¢20bought yes
    4h ago97¢31bought no
    4h ago98¢5bought no
    4h ago97¢2bought no
    4h ago96¢31bought no
    4h ago97¢15bought no
    5h ago97¢1bought no
    5h ago98¢5bought yes
    6h ago98¢5bought yes
    7h ago97¢5bought yes
    7h ago97¢4bought yes
    7h ago96¢19bought no
    8h ago96¢37bought no

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.