Bitcoin price Above/below·closes in 16h

Bitcoin price on Sep 21, 2026?

YES means $78,250 or above

24h volume
1,628
1,628 lifetime
Open interest
1,535
+1,510 over 7d
Spread
2,592 × 2,400 at the touch
24h range
93¢ – 98¢
36 recent trades
Chance of YES
98%

A YES contract costs 99¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
2%

costs

YES bid / ask
97¢ / 99¢
NO bid / ask
/
24h low 93¢24h high 98¢
Recent buying91% YES · 9% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

85¢90¢95¢100¢volSep 20, 10:00 PMSep 21, 4:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2,40099¢
spreadmid 98¢
  • bid2,59297¢
  • bid7,57496¢
  • bid3,00095¢
  • bid5094¢
  • bid18059¢
  • bid18458¢
  • bid1,57157¢
  • bid1,74456¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 78249.99 at 5 PM EDT on Sep 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 20 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Sep 21 · 9:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 21 · 9:05 PM UTC
floor
78249.99
ticker
KXBTCD-26SEP2117-T78249.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 36 trades, 91% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
44m ago98¢24bought yes
44m ago98¢1bought yes
2h ago97¢196bought yes
2h ago97¢8bought yes
2h ago97¢50bought yes
3h ago97¢20bought yes
3h ago96¢4bought no
3h ago97¢3bought no
3h ago97¢20bought no
3h ago97¢2bought no
4h ago96¢1bought no
5h ago96¢5bought yes
7h ago95¢616bought yes
7h ago95¢384bought yes
8h ago94¢10bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.