Bitcoin price Above/below·closes in 5d

Bitcoin price on Sep 25, 2026?

YES means $74,500 or above

24h volume
39.1k
45.3k lifetime
Open interest
41.0k
+36.8k over 24h
Spread
3,215 × 3,536 at the touch
24h range
95¢ – 97¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
96%1

A YES contract costs 97¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
4%

costs

YES bid / ask
96¢ / 97¢
NO bid / ask
/
24h low 95¢24h high 97¢
Recent buying4% YES · 96% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

85¢90¢95¢100¢volSep 20, 4:02 AMSep 21, 3:53 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 74499.99 at 5 PM EDT on Sep 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 18 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Sep 25 · 9:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 25 · 9:05 PM UTC
floor
74499.99
ticker
KXBTCD-26SEP2517-T74499.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 4% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
48m ago96¢40bought no
1h ago95¢38bought no
3h ago96¢80bought yes
4h ago97¢25bought yes
4h ago97¢992bought yes
4h ago97¢8bought yes
7h ago95¢360bought no
7h ago97¢360bought yes
18h ago95¢438bought no
18h ago96¢2,204bought no
18h ago96¢1,212bought no
18h ago96¢3bought no
18h ago96¢2,204bought no
18h ago96¢1,615bought no
18h ago96¢4bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.