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Bitcoin price Above/below·closes in 5d

Bitcoin price on Sep 25, 2026?

YES means $75,000 or above

24h volume
2,928
22.0k lifetime
Open interest
16.0k
+16.0k over 30d
Spread
2¢
4,669 × 9,934 at the touch
24h range
94¢ – 96¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
95%−1

A YES contract costs 97¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
5%

costs 5¢

YES bid / ask
95¢ / 97¢
NO bid / ask
3¢ / 5¢
24h low 94¢24h high 96¢
Recent buying72% YES · 28% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
85¢90¢95¢100¢volSep 18, 10:00 PMSep 21, 4:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask3,00099¢
  • ask2,94898¢
  • ask9,93497¢
spread2¢mid 96¢
  • bid4,66995¢
  • bid3,29594¢
  • bid8,20093¢
  • bid389¢
  • bid49150¢
  • bid19848¢
  • bid2,07947¢
  • bid1,58746¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 74999.99 at 5 PM EDT on Sep 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 18 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Sep 25 · 9:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 25 · 9:05 PM UTC
floor
74999.99
ticker
KXBTCD-26SEP2517-T74999.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 72% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
4h ago95¢80bought no
8h ago95¢100bought no
8h ago96¢1,000bought no
8h ago96¢371bought no
21h ago95¢4bought no
23h ago94¢100bought no
23h ago94¢1,173bought no
23h ago94¢100bought no
1d ago96¢100bought no
1d ago97¢1bought yes
1d ago96¢192bought no
1d ago96¢1bought no
1d ago96¢104bought no
1d ago96¢100bought no
1d ago96¢92bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.