Bitcoin price Above/below·closes in 5d

Bitcoin price on Sep 25, 2026?

YES means $75,500 or above

24h volume
2,700
6,384 lifetime
Open interest
6,071
+2,463 over 24h
Spread
4,440 × 5,104 at the touch
24h range
93¢ – 96¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
94%+1

A YES contract costs 96¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
6%

costs

YES bid / ask
94¢ / 96¢
NO bid / ask
/
24h low 93¢24h high 96¢
Recent buying4% YES · 96% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

85¢90¢95¢100¢volSep 20, 5:20 AMSep 21, 5:19 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2,00099¢
  • ask4,05198¢
  • ask8,02497¢
  • ask5,10496¢
spreadmid 95¢
  • bid4,44094¢
  • bid7,13793¢
  • bid3,47092¢
  • bid387¢
  • bid14950¢
  • bid18949¢
  • bid2,03548¢
  • bid97347¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 75499.99 at 5 PM EDT on Sep 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 18 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Sep 25 · 9:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 25 · 9:05 PM UTC
floor
75499.99
ticker
KXBTCD-26SEP2517-T75499.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 4% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2h ago94¢928bought no
2h ago94¢72bought no
2h ago96¢97bought yes
2h ago96¢7bought yes
4h ago95¢19bought no
7h ago95¢1,544bought no
12h ago95¢15bought no
13h ago96¢15bought yes
22h ago93¢2bought no
22h ago93¢1bought no
1d ago93¢1,201bought no
1d ago92¢0.11bought no
1d ago93¢1.34bought no
1d ago93¢1.34bought no
1d ago94¢200bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.