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Bitcoin price Above/below·closes in 5d

Bitcoin price on Sep 25, 2026?

YES means $76,000 or above

24h volume
2,740
30.0k lifetime
Open interest
25.6k
Spread
1¢
2,431 × 4,304 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
93%−1

A YES contract costs 94¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
7%

costs 7¢

YES bid / ask
93¢ / 94¢
NO bid / ask
6¢ / 7¢
Recent buying9% YES · 91% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5598¢
  • ask15397¢
  • ask3,20696¢
  • ask8,47395¢
  • ask4,30494¢
spread1¢mid 94¢
  • bid2,43193¢
  • bid4,24692¢
  • bid3,06991¢
  • bid5,00090¢
  • bid10087¢
  • bid385¢
  • bid11.0k68¢
  • bid18.9k67¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 75999.99 at 5 PM EDT on Sep 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 18 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Sep 25 · 9:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 25 · 9:05 PM UTC
floor
75999.99
ticker
KXBTCD-26SEP2517-T75999.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 9% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
48m ago93¢13bought no
2h ago93¢35bought no
4h ago92¢59bought no
4h ago92¢47bought no
5h ago93¢300bought no
5h ago93¢1,201bought no
19h ago91¢1bought no
19h ago91¢0.7bought no
19h ago90¢25bought no
21h ago90¢873bought no
22h ago90¢0.94bought no
24h ago93¢34bought no
24h ago93¢21bought no
24h ago93¢12bought no
24h ago93¢5.89bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.