Bitcoin price Above/below·closes in 5d

Bitcoin price on Sep 25, 2026?

YES means $76,000 or above

24h volume
2,556
30.0k lifetime
Open interest
25.6k
+19.3k over 90d
Spread
4,734 × 4,944 at the touch
24h range
90¢ – 93¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
93%

A YES contract costs 94¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
7%

costs

YES bid / ask
93¢ / 94¢
NO bid / ask
/
24h low 90¢24h high 93¢
Recent buying9% YES · 91% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

80¢90¢100¢volSep 19, 4:00 AMSep 20, 4:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2,00099¢
  • ask1,05598¢
  • ask81997¢
  • ask3,55896¢
  • ask7,61595¢
  • ask4,94494¢
spreadmid 94¢
  • bid2,43093¢
  • bid2,40992¢
  • bid2,58991¢
  • bid5,00090¢
  • bid10087¢
  • bid385¢
  • bid11.0k68¢
  • bid18.9k67¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 75999.99 at 5 PM EDT on Sep 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 18 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Sep 25 · 9:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 25 · 9:05 PM UTC
floor
75999.99
ticker
KXBTCD-26SEP2517-T75999.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 9% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2h ago93¢13bought no
3h ago93¢35bought no
5h ago92¢59bought no
5h ago92¢47bought no
6h ago93¢300bought no
6h ago93¢1,201bought no
19h ago91¢1bought no
19h ago91¢0.7bought no
19h ago90¢25bought no
21h ago90¢873bought no
23h ago90¢0.94bought no
1d ago93¢34bought no
1d ago93¢21bought no
1d ago93¢12bought no
1d ago93¢5.89bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.