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Bitcoin price Above/below·closes in 5d

Bitcoin price on Sep 25, 2026?

YES means $77,500 or above

24h volume
2,639
14.1k lifetime
Open interest
11.3k
+1,513 over 24h
Spread
1¢
183 × 5,065 at the touch
24h range
81¢ – 89¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
89%+7

A YES contract costs 89¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
11%

costs 12¢

YES bid / ask
88¢ / 89¢
NO bid / ask
11¢ / 12¢
24h low 81¢24h high 89¢
Recent buying16% YES · 84% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
75¢80¢85¢90¢95¢volSep 20, 7:13 AMSep 21, 7:11 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask57496¢
  • ask41095¢
  • ask33394¢
  • ask28593¢
  • ask6692¢
  • ask8,01891¢
  • ask3,03990¢
  • ask5,06589¢
spread1¢mid 89¢
  • bid18388¢
  • bid4,41187¢
  • bid2,63786¢
  • bid8,15785¢
  • bid183¢
  • bid20082¢
  • bid377¢
  • bid1120¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 77499.99 at 5 PM EDT on Sep 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 18 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Sep 25 · 9:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 25 · 9:05 PM UTC
floor
77499.99
ticker
KXBTCD-26SEP2517-T77499.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 16% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
11m ago89¢1.11bought yes
17m ago89¢1.11bought yes
32m ago88¢0.54bought no
5h ago84¢2.95bought no
5h ago86¢3.36bought no
8h ago86¢37bought no
9h ago88¢1,088bought yes
9h ago85¢10bought no
9h ago85¢50bought no
14h ago87¢0.72bought no
17h ago84¢1,135bought no
19h ago83¢5.55bought no
23h ago82¢303bought no
24h ago81¢0.3bought no
1d ago82¢5.25bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.