Bitcoin price Above/below·closes in 5d

Bitcoin price on Sep 25, 2026?

YES means $78,500 or above

24h volume
12.4k
23.7k lifetime
Open interest
11.7k
Spread
4,325 × 3,619 at the touch
24h range
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
81%+2

A YES contract costs 81¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
19%

costs 20¢

YES bid / ask
80¢ / 81¢
NO bid / ask
19¢ / 20¢
Recent buying30% YES · 70% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 78499.99 at 5 PM EDT on Sep 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 18 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Sep 25 · 9:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 25 · 9:05 PM UTC
floor
78499.99
ticker
KXBTCD-26SEP2517-T78499.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 30% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2h ago81¢2.47bought no
3h ago79¢22bought no
5h ago77¢40bought no
5h ago78¢7.04bought yes
5h ago77¢6.23bought no
5h ago79¢6.23bought yes
6h ago79¢1bought no
9h ago82¢4bought yes
10h ago80¢25bought no
10h ago80¢118bought no
11h ago78¢697bought yes
11h ago78¢361bought yes
11h ago78¢2,000bought yes
11h ago78¢622bought yes
11h ago78¢8bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.