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Bitcoin price Above/below·closes in 5d

Bitcoin price on Sep 25, 2026?

YES means $79,000 or above

24h volume
9,002
21.6k lifetime
Open interest
12.1k
+9,075 over 90d
Spread
1¢
2,674 × 4,928 at the touch
24h range
67¢ – 79¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
77%+11

A YES contract costs 78¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
23%

costs 23¢

YES bid / ask
77¢ / 78¢
NO bid / ask
22¢ / 23¢
24h low 67¢24h high 79¢
Recent buying29% YES · 71% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
60¢70¢80¢volSep 19, 4:00 AMSep 21, 4:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask28593¢
  • ask12.2k92¢
  • ask18689¢
  • ask183¢
  • ask5,00081¢
  • ask3,00280¢
  • ask2,82879¢
  • ask3,82678¢
spread1¢mid 78¢
  • bid2,67477¢
  • bid9,55876¢
  • bid2,61375¢
  • bid36873¢
  • bid472¢
  • bid1050¢
  • bid4.1228¢
  • bid1020¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 78999.99 at 5 PM EDT on Sep 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 18 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Sep 25 · 9:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 25 · 9:05 PM UTC
floor
78999.99
ticker
KXBTCD-26SEP2517-T78999.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 29% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2m ago77¢2.06bought no
6m ago77¢2.06bought no
2h ago75¢74bought no
2h ago75¢196bought no
2h ago75¢100bought no
4h ago76¢10bought yes
5h ago75¢10bought yes
6h ago78¢23bought yes
6h ago77¢4.12bought no
6h ago79¢141bought yes
6h ago77¢2.04bought no
9h ago72¢33bought no
9h ago72¢10bought no
9h ago72¢9bought no
9h ago71¢310bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.