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Bitcoin price Above/below·closes in 5d

Bitcoin price on Sep 25, 2026?

YES means $79,500 or above

24h volume
4,265
5,410 lifetime
Open interest
1,873
Spread
1¢
4,775 × 5,272 at the touch
24h range
58¢ – 73¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
66%

A YES contract costs 72¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
34%

costs 29¢

YES bid / ask
71¢ / 72¢
NO bid / ask
28¢ / 29¢
24h low 58¢24h high 73¢
Recent buying44% YES · 56% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask22187¢
  • ask178¢
  • ask177¢
  • ask176¢
  • ask5,00075¢
  • ask3,81774¢
  • ask2,61673¢
  • ask5,27272¢
spread1¢mid 72¢
  • bid4,77571¢
  • bid7,45770¢
  • bid3,28369¢
  • bid48068¢
  • bid267¢
  • bid164¢
  • bid162¢
  • bid160¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 79499.99 at 5 PM EDT on Sep 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 18 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Sep 25 · 9:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 25 · 9:05 PM UTC
floor
79499.99
ticker
KXBTCD-26SEP2517-T79499.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 44% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
30m ago66¢1.4bought no
1h ago73¢172bought no
1h ago72¢3.4bought no
1h ago73¢25bought yes
5h ago66¢28bought no
5h ago70¢813bought yes
6h ago70¢1bought yes
6h ago70¢223bought yes
6h ago70¢1bought yes
6h ago70¢1.79bought yes
6h ago70¢813bought no
9h ago70¢62bought no
9h ago69¢303bought no
10h ago71¢10bought yes
10h ago70¢15bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.